Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 195.702518 225.807307 259.876443 301.462160 351.087529 408.698110 481.060737
2025-10-12 159.831227 199.649211 249.162402 315.963560 404.817091 520.480567 684.989238
2025-10-19 133.985753 176.484212 232.811069 314.277487 431.354965 597.107452 856.140842
2025-10-26 119.610434 164.493811 227.179026 323.272812 470.800872 695.543111 1077.693378
2025-11-02 107.596365 153.366475 220.153346 327.727903 502.593988 786.768027 1308.246697
2025-11-09 98.343269 144.651672 214.891626 333.156644 535.657765 885.028296 1574.077642
2025-11-16 89.536496 135.311654 207.112947 332.803480 558.205766 968.692845 1833.944997
2025-11-23 82.012548 126.984117 199.691142 331.559564 578.345000 1051.096990 2112.825799
2025-11-30 76.455989 121.140360 195.500518 335.059849 607.342393 1155.725239 2468.618300
2025-12-07 68.991639 111.304764 183.338116 322.252710 602.484275 1190.314987 2673.991891
2025-12-14 63.842778 104.895620 176.415796 318.229363 614.356462 1262.517871 2992.842349
2025-12-21 60.422825 101.150907 173.811141 322.101898 643.157341 1378.296511 3463.158700
2025-12-28 58.911614 101.083229 178.724933 343.418818 717.880785 1630.114013 4446.277136
2026-01-04 56.760865 99.675310 181.069875 360.209599 787.284546 1893.119736 5611.936800
2026-01-11 52.804587 94.415473 175.195939 358.239425 811.468550 2044.571432 6496.539891
2026-01-18 50.514568 92.108765 174.934994 368.734256 869.272876 2309.418005 7953.184918
2026-01-25 47.950110 88.979981 172.570562 373.935021 914.530820 2553.037678 9495.585045
2026-02-01 45.720872 86.293695 170.806433 380.275020 964.564843 2830.442354 11395.687541
2026-02-08 43.162188 82.675207 166.590699 379.862488 995.356756 3055.629959 13237.581140
2026-02-15 40.763457 79.167917 162.229677 378.409561 1022.934214 3281.015302 15285.110689
2026-02-22 38.958383 76.761617 160.098498 382.498367 1068.929437 3594.951970 18146.867450
2026-03-01 36.062443 71.738082 151.388822 367.543685 1050.454352 3649.127864 19479.077176
2026-03-08 34.056368 68.516986 146.620283 362.849014 1065.388880 3849.494044 22017.467830